GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 10/28/2023, 12:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Ain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Al Ain are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Emirates Club are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Ain hold a 31.8-point power-rating edge (64.4 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.1% in the Pro League, while Al Ain holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Ain

Probability

85.1%

Model confidence

85.1%

Al Ain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al AinWLWWW

GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Emirates ClubLDWDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al AinEmirates Club
72.7Attack39.1
59.1Defence26.1
63.6Form24.6
64.4Power32.6
3.86xG0.81
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