Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ain · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Al Ain are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Al Urooba are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Ain hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (64.4 v 25.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.8% in the Pro League, while Al Ain holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Ain
Probability
90.8%
Model confidence
90.8%
Al Ain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80