Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Al Ain are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Al Nasr are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Ain hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (64.4 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.0% in the Pro League, while Al Ain holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Ain
Probability
66.0%
Model confidence
66.0%
Al Ain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00