Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Al Ain are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Al Nasr are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Ain hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (64.4 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.0% in the Pro League, while Al Ain holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Ain
Probability
66.0%
Model confidence
66.0%
Al Ain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00