Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Al Ain are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Al-Jazira are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Ain hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (64.4 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.9% in the Pro League, while Al Ain holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Ain
Probability
65.9%
Model confidence
65.9%
Al Ain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20