Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Al Ain are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Al-Jazira are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Ain hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (64.4 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.9% in the Pro League, while Al Ain holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Ain
Probability
65.9%
Model confidence
65.9%
Al Ain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00