Al Ainvs
Al-Ittihad Kalba
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · League Cup · 10/8/2026, 1:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Ain 2-2 Al-Ittihad Kalba
Original prediction
Al Ain
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 72.1% | 48.6% | -23.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.53 | 16.3% | 23.1% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 7.71 | 11.7% | 28.3% | 16.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Al Ain
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Al Ain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60