GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 5/16/2024, 2:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Ain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Al Ain are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Al-Ittihad Kalba are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Ain hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (64.4 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.0% in the Pro League, while Al Ain holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Ain

Probability

66.0%

Model confidence

66.0%

Al Ain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al AinLWLLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al-Ittihad KalbaLDLWW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al AinAl-Ittihad Kalba
72.7Attack66.7
59.1Defence33.3
63.6Form33.3
64.4Power45.3
2.69xG1.14
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