Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Al Ain are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Al-Dhafra are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Ain hold a 29.6-point power-rating edge (64.4 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.0% in the Pro League, while Al Ain holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Ain
Probability
83.0%
Model confidence
83.0%
Al Ain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60