Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Al Ain are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Ajman are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajman hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (64.4 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.8% in the Pro League, while Al Ain holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Ain
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
56.8%
Al Ain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40