Al Ain U23vs
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Pro League U23 · 10/18/2026, 1:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ain U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Ain U23 3-1 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23
Original prediction
Al Ain U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.3% | 58.0% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.37 | 20.6% | 21.3% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.70 | 19.1% | 20.7% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Al Ain U23
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Al Ain U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40