GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League U23 · 9/5/2026, 1:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Ain U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Ain U23 2-0 Ittihad Kalba U23

Original prediction

Al Ain U23

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2373.0%54.4%-18.6 pts
Draw5.3216.9%22.1%5.3 pts
Away8.8810.1%23.4%13.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-18.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.1–19%
  3. 3.3–17%

Predicted outcome

Al Ain U23

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

54.4%

Al Ain U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al Ain U23WWWWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Ittihad Kalba U23WDWLD

GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Al Ain U23Ittihad Kalba U23
100.0Attack88.9
77.8Defence44.4
100.0Form77.8
92.6Power72.8
2.32xG1.50
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