Al Ahlyvs
Olympic El Qanah
COMPLETEDEgypt · Premier League · 10/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ahly · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Ahly 1-0 Olympic El Qanah, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Ahly 3-3 Olympic El Qanah
Original prediction
Al Ahly
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 75.0% | 59.9% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.36 | 17.0% | 24.2% | 7.2 pts |
| Away | 11.36 | 8.0% | 16.0% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.1 pts
Projected Score
Al Ahly 1–0 Olympic El Qanah
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Al Ahly
Probability
59.9%
Model confidence
59.9%
Al Ahly has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al AhlyWWWWD
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Olympic El QanahDLLDD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Al AhlyOlympic El Qanah
61.1Attack33.3
83.3Defence66.7
88.9Form38.9
80.2Power49.4
1.43xG0.58