Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ahly · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
17%
HighconfidenceAl Ahly are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Enppi are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and al Ahly hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (76.7 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Premier League, favouring Al Ahly with 16.8% confidence, a 35% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Ahly
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
16.8%
Al Ahly has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al AhlyWWWLW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
EnppiLLDDD
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al AhlyEnppi
73.7Attack37.3
71.7Defence63.7
82.8Form44.1
76.7Power50.1
1.79xG0.53