Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ahli · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Al Ahli are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sitra are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Ahli hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Premier League, while Al Ahli holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Ahli
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Al Ahli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00