GGOALVIO

World · AFC Challenge League · 10/26/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Ahli · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Al Ahli are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hilal Al-Quds have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Ahli hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the AFC Challenge League, while Al Ahli holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Ahli

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Al Ahli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al AhliLWLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hilal Al-QudsNo completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Al AhliHilal Al-Quds
11.1Attack0.0
77.8Defence66.7
22.2Form22.2
40.2Power32.7
1.24xG0.98
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