Al-Ahli Jeddahvs
Pakhtakor
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 9/14/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ahli Jeddah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-1 Pakhtakor
Original prediction
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.21 | 75.9% | 60.8% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.20 | 14.8% | 21.3% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 9.96 | 9.3% | 17.9% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Al-Ahli Jeddah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60