Al-Ahli Jeddahvs
Auckland
COMPLETEDWorld · FIFA Intercontinental Cup · 8/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ahli Jeddah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-0 Auckland
Original prediction
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.18 | 78.8% | 48.4% | -30.4 pts |
| Draw | 6.84 | 13.6% | 24.8% | 11.2 pts |
| Away | 12.30 | 7.6% | 26.7% | 19.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-30.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Al-Ahli Jeddah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40