Al-Ahli Jeddahvs
Al Riyadh
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ahli Jeddah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Ahli Jeddah 5-0 Al Riyadh
Original prediction
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 71.1% | 54.9% | -16.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.34 | 17.3% | 22.3% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 7.93 | 11.6% | 22.9% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Al-Ahli Jeddah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60