Al-Ahli Jeddahvs
Al-Nassr
POSTPONEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Nassr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.02 | 30.3% | 33.2% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.2% | 23.1% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 44.5% | 43.7% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Al-Nassr
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Al-Nassr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al-Ahli JeddahWWLDW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al-NassrWWLDW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Nassr
83.3Attack79.2
58.3Defence70.8
62.5Form79.2
64.8Power76.0
1.56xG1.81