Al-Ahli Jeddahvs
Al Khaleej Saihat
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ahli Jeddah · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 3-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Ahli Jeddah 4-1 Al Khaleej Saihat
Original prediction
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 70.7% | 61.6% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.14 | 17.9% | 21.5% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 8.05 | 11.4% | 16.9% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.3–011%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Probability
61.6%
Model confidence
61.6%
Al-Ahli Jeddah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80