Al-Ahli Jeddahvs
Al-Hazm
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ahli Jeddah · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-1 Al-Hazm
Original prediction
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 74.6% | 55.7% | -18.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.81 | 15.9% | 23.2% | 7.3 pts |
| Away | 9.66 | 9.5% | 21.1% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Al-Ahli Jeddah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00