Al Ahli Dohavs
Qatar SC
COMPLETEDQatar · Stars League · 9/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ahli Doha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Ahli Doha 1-0 Qatar SC
Original prediction
Al Ahli Doha
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.5% | 41.2% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.9% | 25.0% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.71 | 33.6% | 33.8% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Al Ahli Doha
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Al Ahli Doha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20