Al Ahli Dohavs
Al Wakrah
COMPLETEDQatar · Stars League · 10/16/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ahli Doha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Ahli Doha 0-3 Al Wakrah
Original prediction
Al Ahli Doha
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 40.2% | 45.1% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.1% | 25.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.8% | 29.9% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Al Ahli Doha
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Al Ahli Doha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60