Al Ahli Dohavs
Al Shahaniya
COMPLETEDQatar · QSL Cup · 9/20/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ahli Doha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Ahli Doha 0-1 Al Shahaniya
Original prediction
Al Ahli Doha
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.1% | 61.2% | 11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.6% | 20.5% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 24.3% | 18.3% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–09%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Al Ahli Doha
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
61.2%
Al Ahli Doha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80