Al Ahli Dohavs
Al-Sailiya
COMPLETEDQatar · Stars League · 10/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ahli Doha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Ahli Doha 5-0 Al-Sailiya
Original prediction
Al Ahli Doha
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.2% | 46.4% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.9% | 25.4% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 4.17 | 21.8% | 28.2% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Al Ahli Doha
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Al Ahli Doha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60