Al Ahli DohavsAl-Gharafa

Al Ahli Doha are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Al-Gharafa are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Gharafa hold a 32.6-point power-rating edge (34.2 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.0% in the Stars League, while Al-Gharafa holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.