Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Adalah · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Adalah 3-4 Al Taee
Original prediction
Al-Adalah
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.08 | 29.5% | 41.5% | 12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.2% | 27.7% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 43.3% | 30.9% | -12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Al-Adalah
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Al-Adalah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al-AdalahDWWWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al TaeeLLLWW
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al-AdalahAl Taee
33.3Attack0.0
100.0Defence33.3
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power15.3
1.60xG0.90