Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Adalah · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Adalah 1-1 Al Saqer
Original prediction
Al-Adalah
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 31.3% | 39.4% | 8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.4% | 28.6% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.3% | 32.0% | -8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Al-Adalah
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Al-Adalah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al-AdalahWLDWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al SaqerDDD
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.33/0.33
BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
Al-AdalahAl Saqer
55.6Attack11.1
55.6Defence88.9
66.7Form33.3
62.6Power48.3
1.32xG0.94