Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Adalah · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.9% | 52.6% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.5% | 25.8% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.54 | 25.6% | 21.6% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Al-Adalah
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Al-Adalah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al-AdalahWDLWD
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Al JeelDLLDL
GF 0 · GA 5 · avg 0.00/1.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Al-AdalahAl Jeel
54.2Attack0.0
58.3Defence61.1
58.3Form11.1
59.5Power27.6
1.58xG0.73