Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Adalah · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al-Adalah 0-0 Al Anwar, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Adalah 1-1 Al Anwar
Original prediction
Al-Adalah
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 32.2% | 37.7% | 5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.2% | 29.5% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.6% | 32.8% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Projected Score
Al-Adalah 0–0 Al Anwar
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Al-Adalah
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Al-Adalah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al-AdalahLWDWL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al AnwarDWWDL
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Al-AdalahAl Anwar
50.0Attack27.8
55.6Defence83.3
55.6Form50.0
56.8Power55.9
1.07xG0.87