GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 4/6/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yelimay Semey · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Akzhayik are 4W-0D-0L in their last 4 (WWWW), averaging 5.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Yelimay Semey are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWWL), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Yelimay Semey hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (67.3 v 85.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the 1. Division, while Yelimay Semey holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yelimay Semey

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Yelimay Semey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AkzhayikWWWW

GF 22 · GA 4 · avg 5.50/1.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
Yelimay SemeyLWWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/0.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
AkzhayikYelimay Semey
75.3Attack91.4
66.7Defence80.2
66.7Form90.1
67.3Power85.3
1.36xG1.72
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