GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 4/22/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Akzhayik · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Akzhayik are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Khan Tengri are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Akzhayik hold a 28.5-point power-rating edge (67.3 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.4% in the 1. Division, while Akzhayik holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Akzhayik

Probability

83.4%

Model confidence

83.4%

Akzhayik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AkzhayikLWDWW

GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Khan TengriDWLWW

GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AkzhayikKhan Tengri
75.3Attack35.2
66.7Defence40.7
66.7Form33.3
67.3Power38.7
3.19xG0.60
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