Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aktobe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Aktobe 0-0 Zhenys, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Aktobe 1-0 Zhenys
Original prediction
Aktobe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 49.0% | 44.5% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.1% | 29.5% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.83 | 23.9% | 26.0% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Projected Score
Aktobe 0–0 Zhenys
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Aktobe
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Aktobe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AktobeLWDLW
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
ZhenysWWWDL
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AktobeZhenys
47.8Attack33.3
59.4Defence63.6
50.7Form43.9
54.0Power49.1
1.13xG0.73