Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aktobe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Aktobe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Okzhetpes are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.1 against 53.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Premier League, while Aktobe holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aktobe
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Aktobe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00