AktobevsLegia Warszawa

Aktobe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Legia Warszawa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Legia Warszawa hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Legia Warszawa holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.