Aktobevs
Kyzyl-Zhar
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 5/23/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aktobe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Aktobe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kyzyl-Zhar are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aktobe hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Premier League, while Aktobe holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aktobe
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
13.4%
Aktobe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60