Aktobevs
Kairat Almaty
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 10/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kairat Almaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aktobe 2-2 Kairat Almaty
Original prediction
Kairat Almaty
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.12 | 29.1% | 22.8% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.9% | 25.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 44.9% | 52.0% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Kairat Almaty
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Kairat Almaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40