AktobevsFK Tobol Kostanay

Aktobe are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while FK Tobol Kostanay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Aktobe hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Premier League, while Aktobe holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.