GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 4/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kaspij Aktau 2 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Aktobe Jas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kaspij Aktau 2 are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kaspij Aktau 2 hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the 1. Division, while Kaspij Aktau 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kaspij Aktau 2

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

7.5%

Kaspij Aktau 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aktobe JasLWDWW

GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Kaspij Aktau 2LDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Aktobe JasKaspij Aktau 2
53.7Attack50.0
0.0Defence42.6
31.5Form44.4
30.2Power45.5
1.95xG2.54
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