GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 4/13/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jas Qyran · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Aktobe Jas are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Jas Qyran are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWLW), averaging 2.25 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Jas Qyran hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the 1. Division, while Jas Qyran holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jas Qyran

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

51.7%

Jas Qyran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aktobe JasW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Jas QyranLWLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 2.25/2.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Aktobe JasJas Qyran
53.7Attack59.3
0.0Defence38.3
31.5Form38.3
30.2Power44.7
2.11xG2.99
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