Aktobe Jasvs
Astana II
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · 1. Division · 10/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Astana II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 2-2 (6%), 2-4 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aktobe Jas 3-6 Astana II
Original prediction
Astana II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.4% | 32.0% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.53 | 19.7% | 19.6% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.0% | 48.4% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.2–26%
- 3.2–46%
Predicted outcome
Astana II
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Astana II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00
GF 20 · GA 10 · avg 4.00/2.00