Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dynamo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Akron 0-2 Dynamo, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Akron 3-1 Dynamo
Original prediction
Dynamo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.10 | 18.6% | 15.2% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 23.7% | 21.7% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.64 | 57.7% | 63.1% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Projected Score
Akron 0–2 Dynamo
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Dynamo
Probability
63.1%
Model confidence
63.1%
Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AkronDDLLW
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
DynamoWWWWW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AkronDynamo
36.4Attack54.5
39.4Defence72.7
27.3Form75.8
36.3Power69.0
0.57xG2.00