Akronvs
CSKA Moscow
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 8/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA Moscow · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Akron 2-2 CSKA Moscow
Original prediction
CSKA Moscow
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.64 | 20.5% | 25.8% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 23.1% | 26.3% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 56.4% | 47.9% | -8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
CSKA Moscow
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
CSKA Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80