Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baltika · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Akron are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Baltika are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Baltika hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 68.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Baltika holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baltika
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Baltika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00