Akronvs
Arsenal Tula
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 7/28/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Akron · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Akron are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Arsenal Tula are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Akron hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (60.2 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the First League, while Akron holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Akron
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
61.3%
Akron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60