GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 8/7/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Akron II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Akron II are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil are 0W-4D-0L in their last 4 (DDDD), averaging 0.25 scored and 0.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Akron II hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Second League - Group 4, while Akron II holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Akron II

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Akron II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Akron IILLL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.67/4.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Uralets Nizhnyi TagilDDDD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.25/0.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 0/4
Akron IIUralets Nizhnyi Tagil
68.3Attack16.7
48.3Defence75.0
48.3Form37.5
53.6Power46.0
1.18xG0.72
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