GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Akron II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Akron II 2-0 Krylya Sovetov II

Original prediction

Akron II

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0045.9%50.0%4.1 pts
Draw3.7024.8%23.2%-1.6 pts
Away3.1429.3%26.8%-2.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

Akron II

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

Akron II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Akron IIDLLWW

GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Krylya Sovetov IILWDLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Akron IIKrylya Sovetov II
68.1Attack38.9
47.2Defence62.5
45.8Form41.7
52.3Power49.0
1.66xG1.11
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