GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 10/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Akron II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Akron II 2-0 Dinamo Barnaul

Original prediction

Akron II

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0945.6%55.2%9.6 pts
Draw4.0923.3%21.8%-1.5 pts
Away3.0631.1%23.0%-8.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–19%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.3–08%

Predicted outcome

Akron II

Probability

55.2%

Model confidence

55.2%

Akron II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Akron IILWWDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Dinamo BarnaulDWLLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Akron IIDinamo Barnaul
65.4Attack45.7
50.6Defence27.2
48.1Form38.3
53.6Power39.6
3.18xG1.19
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