GGOALVIO

Cyprus · 2. Division · 10/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Akritas · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Akritas 0-0 Iraklis Yerolakkou

Original prediction

Akritas

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5558.8%39.1%-19.6 pts
Draw3.7724.2%27.3%3.2 pts
Away5.3517.1%33.5%16.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-19.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–011%
  3. 3.0–111%

Predicted outcome

Akritas

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Akritas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AkritasLDLWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Iraklis YerolakkouLDWDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
AkritasIraklis Yerolakkou
22.2Attack33.3
44.4Defence66.7
11.1Form44.4
29.5Power49.5
1.08xG1.27
View match centre →